Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Henderson | 36 | 6-20 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Marqui Worthy | 32 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | +4.6 |
| BJ Kolly | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -5.4 |
| Osiris Grady | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Ben Waller | 24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Tyler Jones | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.3 |
| De'Undrae Perteete | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.7 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Cooper | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | +5.3 |
| Connor Sevilla | 34 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Niko Rocak | 28 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +10.1 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -7.8 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | +16.0 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Marcus Wilson | 14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -15.4 |
| Omer Suljanovic | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Jalen Stokes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.2 |
* = starter