Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Ward | 37 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 35 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Landon Seaman | 24 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Bryce Cofield | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Christian Williams | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Henderson | 19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Kendrick De Luna | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Kiwane Garris Jr | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Davis White | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.2 |
| Bailey Nunn | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 31 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Connor Sevilla | 28 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 11-13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Marcus Wilson | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -6.4 |
| Niko Rocak | 26 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | -3.5 |
| Nils Cooper | 19 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Omer Suljanovic | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.8 |
* = starter