Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fagbemi | 33 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -10.1 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 32 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | -10.0 |
| Connor Sevilla | 30 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -11.7 |
| Nils Cooper | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | -3.7 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Marcus Wilson | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -11.0 |
| Jalen Stokes | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -11.1 |
| Omer Suljanovic | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Chase Rawlins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Davis | 37 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +10.2 |
| Hamad Mousa | 36 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 10-10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | +12.4 |
| Kieran Elliott | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Cayden Ward | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +12.9 |
| Jackson Mosley | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +4.8 |
| Peter Bandelj | 22 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4.9 |
| Austin Goode | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +10.7 |
* = starter