Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -7 (86-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 36 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +6.3 |
| Nils Cooper | 27 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 21 | +7.0 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 25 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +14.2 |
| Marcus Wilson | 24 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +11.5 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 24 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Niko Rocak | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +10.2 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 23 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | +1.1 |
| Jalen Stokes | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.3 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 36 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | -14.9 |
| CJ Shaw | 33 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | -10.9 |
| Zion Sensley | 27 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -24.5 |
| Miro Little | 24 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +7.8 |
| Colin Smith | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +23.3 |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -6.3 |
| Hosana Kitenge | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -17.7 |
| Zachiah Clark | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +11.3 |
| Michael Simcoe | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.1 |
| Evans Kipruto | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter