Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +22 (107-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 32 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Peter Bandelj | 32 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 30 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Guzman Vasilic | 25 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Austin Goode | 24 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jackson Mosley | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ali Assran | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jake Davis | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Troy Plumtree | 13 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derin Saran | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jurian Dixon | 29 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Evans | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Andre Henry | 27 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tama Isaac | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Carrington | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jovan Jester Jr. | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Elijah Chol | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nes Emeneke | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ben Egbo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tishan Ahir | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter