Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derin Saran | 34 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jurian Dixon | 33 | 6-19 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Evans | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tama Isaac | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Andre Henry | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jovan Jester Jr. | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Harrison Carrington | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nes Emeneke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ben Egbo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 33 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Peter Bandelj | 31 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Guzman Vasilic | 31 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Austin Goode | 23 | 7-17 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Troy Plumtree | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jess Esso Essis | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jackson Mosley | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jake Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter