Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | +13.8 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons +3 (77-74). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Majstorovic * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +11.4 |
| Rob Diaz III * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Shaquil Bender * | 31 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Cole Farrell * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Leopold Levillain * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Dallas Washington | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.8 |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Chaikin * | 32 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | -11.3 |
| Tom Beattie * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -11.3 |
| Bol Dengdit * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -3.2 |
| Hudson Mayes * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Cade Pendleton * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Aidan Burke | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +6.2 |
| Jaden Vance | 20 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +11.4 |
| Leo Beath | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3.0 |
| Trap Johnson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
* = starter