Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie | 33 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -10.7 |
| Leo Beath | 32 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Hudson Mayes | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -10.5 |
| Alex Chaikin | 32 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | -13.3 |
| Bol Dengdit | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -14.7 |
| Cade Pendleton | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Aidan Burke | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -15.5 |
| Jaden Vance | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Trap Johnson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -16.3 |
| Ryder Elisaldez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Christopher Cox | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | +19.1 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 32 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +12.8 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | +8.9 |
| Larry Hughes II | 26 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +9.6 |
| James Evans Jr. | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +16.3 |
| Jordan Brinson | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +12.2 |
| Jai Chisolm | 14 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Grady Lewis | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +10.7 |
| Davius Loury | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Greg Gazarian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
| Robert Thibiant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Joseph Barrio | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter