Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Beattie | 33 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -10.7 |
| L. Beath | 32 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -2.8 |
| H. Mayes | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -10.5 |
| A. Chaikin | 32 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | -13.3 |
| B. Dengdit | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -14.7 |
| C. Pendleton | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +4.2 |
| A. Burke | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -15.5 |
| J. Vance | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.5 |
| E. Prospere II | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| T. Johnson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -16.3 |
| R. Elisaldez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
| C. Cox | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | +19.1 |
| J. O'Garro | 32 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +12.8 |
| M. Fofana | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | +8.9 |
| L. Hughes Jr. | 26 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +9.6 |
| J. Evans Jr. | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +16.3 |
| J. Brinson | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +12.2 |
| J. Chisolm | 14 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +6.7 |
| G. Lewis | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +10.7 |
| D. Loury | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +0.5 |
| G. Gazarian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
| R. Thibiant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| J. Barrio | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter