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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos UC San Diego Tritons Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% - โœ—
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 โœ— (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—

Actual: UC San Diego Tritons -14 (48-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aidan Mahaney 37 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 10 7 +10.3
Miro Little 35 3-12 1-5 8-13 8 2 1 0 4 15 10 +9.7
Colin Smith 32 3-8 3-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 9 4 +10.1
CJ Shaw 26 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 10 7 +9.9
Zion Sensley 23 3-9 2-6 2-2 7 1 0 1 0 10 10 +3.2
Hosana Kitenge 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 5 -0.8
Marvin McGhee IV 11 1-2 0-1 4-5 2 1 0 0 0 6 7 +9.2
Evans Kipruto 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 6 +4.1
Michael Simcoe 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +4.0
Koat Keat Tong 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +3.1

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tom Beattie 36 4-11 0-4 2-2 3 2 3 0 1 10 6 -7.7
Alex Chaikin 33 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 6 4 -0.6
Leo Beath 28 1-6 0-2 2-4 8 1 1 1 3 4 6 -11.6
Bol Dengdit 26 6-9 2-3 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 15 12 +3.9
Hudson Mayes 22 3-10 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 8 2 -2.9
Aidan Burke 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 -14.1
Jaden Vance 15 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 5 5 -3 -10.0
Trap Johnson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.2
Cade Pendleton 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -9.0
Dimitrije Vukicevic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.0

* = starter