Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -6 (74-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Chaikin | 33 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +5.4 |
| Hudson Mayes | 29 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 25 | +4.4 |
| Tom Beattie | 29 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Leo Beath | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +6.2 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | +11.2 |
| Aidan Burke | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Bol Dengdit | 18 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Trap Johnson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5.5 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Wilson | 31 | 6-16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 29 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 28 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +5.7 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +9.4 |
| Niko Rocak | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 22 | -1.9 |
| Connor Sevilla | 22 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -5 | -13.6 |
| Nils Cooper | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -9.6 |
| Omer Suljanovic | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -1.4 |
| Jalen Stokes | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.0 |
* = starter