Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis | 36 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | -3.6 |
| Larry Hughes II | 32 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -4.8 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 26 | +5.2 |
| James Evans Jr. | 29 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | +13.8 |
| Jordan Brinson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Davius Loury | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Grady Lewis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Jai Chisolm | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie | 33 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -4.3 |
| Leo Beath | 32 | 4-18 | 0-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Alex Chaikin | 30 | 7-14 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Hudson Mayes | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | -9.0 |
| Aidan Burke | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -12.3 |
| Bol Dengdit | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +9.8 |
| Trap Johnson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +2.6 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6.4 |
* = starter