Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Beattie | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | -0.2 |
| B. Dengdit | 29 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +7.5 |
| L. Beath | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -1.2 |
| E. Prospere II | 24 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -1.1 |
| A. Burke | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.2 |
| A. Chaikin | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +7.4 |
| H. Mayes | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -4.7 |
| T. Johnson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +0.5 |
| D. Vukicevic | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.6 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Grady | 38 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +3.1 |
| J. Daniel-Dalton | 34 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -0.6 |
| T. Jones | 34 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +1.0 |
| A. Henderson | 31 | 8-20 | 3-11 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 9 | +5.2 |
| M. Worthy | 31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4.9 |
| BJ Kolly | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -11.6 |
| B. Waller | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
| D. Godfrey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
* = starter