Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Beath | 31 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | -15.0 |
| Tom Beattie | 30 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -8.4 |
| Hudson Mayes | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | +0.4 |
| Alex Chaikin | 24 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Bol Dengdit | 24 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | +6.6 |
| Aidan Burke | 23 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | -13.1 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Jaden Vance | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Trap Johnson | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +9.3 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 36 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +10.0 |
| Cayden Ward | 33 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Peter Bandelj | 32 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Jake Davis | 31 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 29 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +13.8 |
| Luka Tarlac | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -14.9 |
| Ali Assran | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +6.0 |
| Austin Goode | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
* = starter