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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 83.8% 16.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 76.2% 23.8% - ✓
Margin 79.1% 20.9% -7.3 ✓ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 82.4% 17.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.9% 38.1% - ✓

Actual: Bucknell Bison -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DJ Armstrong 32 4-8 2-5 1-2 5 5 0 0 3 11 10 +3.9
Jah'Likai King 32 6-11 2-5 6-7 2 2 0 1 3 20 11 +10.7
Josh Odunowo 31 6-11 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 2 1 12 12 +8.2
Riley Jacobs 28 4-7 0-1 3-4 5 0 2 3 1 11 13 +13.5
Caden Diggs 25 2-6 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 2 1 6 4 +1.7
Ace Valentine 24 3-4 3-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 9 11 -5.9
Daylon Dickerson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 0 6 -7.2
Cougar Downing 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -0.7
J. Tanchyn 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6.5
Tim Eze 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.2

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amon Dörries 34 5-8 0-1 6-6 4 2 1 0 3 16 12 -11.7
Jayden Williams 34 2-8 0-3 2-2 3 5 2 0 1 6 7 +3.0
Quin Berger 34 3-10 3-8 2-2 1 0 4 1 1 11 6 -3.2
Achile Spadone 32 5-12 3-7 0-0 2 3 1 1 1 13 7 -4.5
Grgur Brcic 30 6-11 0-0 2-6 16 1 0 1 2 14 19 -0.9
Aleksander Pachucki 22 1-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 -1 +0.3
Jacob Meachem 11 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -5.9
Patrick O'Brien 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.1

* = starter