Model Predictions
| Model | Incarnate Word Cardinals | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | +23.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice Owls +8 (70-62). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raimi McCrary * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Madison Cockrell * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Morgan Borgstadt * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +10.0 |
| Jorja Elliott * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Destiny Whitaker * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Gwendlyn McGrew | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | -8.5 |
| Brynn Lusby | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -10.7 |
| Londyn Oliphant | 13 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Madison Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.6 |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailey Adams * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Dominique Ennis * | 36 | 6-15 | 4-12 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | +7.4 |
| Shelby Hayes * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | +11.5 |
| Victoria Flores * | 29 | 3-16 | 0-6 | 7-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Aniah Alexis * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8.4 |
| Jordin Blackmon | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +13.3 |
| Louann Battiston | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Mylee Guinn | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Myah Hazelton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.6 |
| Jill Twiehaus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.6 |
* = starter