Model Predictions
| Model | Incarnate Word Cardinals | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | +11.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.2% | 86.8% | +10.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +13 (80-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Staveskie | 38 | 7-18 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Jordan Pyke | 35 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -11.3 |
| Harold Woods | 35 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -10.0 |
| Davion Bailey | 34 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | -8.7 |
| Lewis Rowe | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Esteban Mann | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Love Bettis | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Marcus Glover | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.3 |
| Jayden Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Amani Drummond | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Brankovic | 34 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 26 | +15.8 |
| Marvin McGhee III | 30 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -3.0 |
| Koree Cotton | 29 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 21 | +17.1 |
| Julien Gomez | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +0.0 |
| Jaylen Washington | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +12.2 |
| Jalen Ricks | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Zae Blake | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +7.0 |
| Always Wright | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Marshal Destremau | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7.0 |
* = starter