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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 66
@
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 57
2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 74.2% 25.8% - ✓
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 ✓ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 64.7% 35.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - ✓

Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros -9 (57-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thompson 32 12-18 1-3 7-9 3 1 3 0 4 32 17 -
C. Christmas 29 0-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 0 6 -
J. Colonel 27 2-8 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 1 0 4 12 -
L. Patrick 25 2-11 0-6 5-6 0 1 1 0 2 9 -2 -
K. Burton 24 1-7 1-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
A. Mohammed 20 1-4 0-0 0-2 3 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
N. Chotikavanic 18 3-7 3-6 2-4 1 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
G. Alisas 13 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 5 5 -
C. Green 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Scurry 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McGhee III 34 2-7 1-6 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 5 7 -
J. Washington 33 6-12 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 13 4 -
K. Cotton 29 3-9 1-5 8-11 6 2 1 2 2 15 15 -
J. Gomez 29 3-8 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
F. Brankovic 27 5-13 0-6 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 10 0 -
Z. Blake 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Agwa 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 3 2 1 -
D. Christensen 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
A. Wright 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Ricks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter