Model Predictions
| Model | SE Louisiana Lions | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | +12.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +3 (68-65). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Gaines * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | +2.5 |
| Ethan Pickett * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -15.6 |
| Jeremy Elyzee * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Makhi Myles * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Kyle Edison * | 9 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -8.3 |
| Peter Hemschemeier | 28 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | +12.4 |
| Jaiden Lawrence | 23 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +13.2 |
| Jalen Forrest | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +5.7 |
| CJ Booker | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Ubong-Abasi Etim | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Garrett Shoemaker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin McGhee III * | 37 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | -4.0 |
| Jaylen Washington Jr. * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Julien Gomez * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Filip Brankovic * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +10.1 |
| Koree Cotton * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | +14.1 |
| Kwo Agwa | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -12.7 |
| Jalen Ricks | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -17.8 |
| Zae Blake | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Always Wright | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Dane Christensen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
| Demarris Winters | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Marshal Destremau | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
* = starter