Model Predictions
| Model | SE Louisiana Lions | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Elyzee * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +0.1 |
| Jaiden Lawrence * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -5.3 |
| Isaiah Gaines * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Ethan Pickett * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -0.6 |
| C.J. Booker * | 17 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -1.5 |
| Seth Jones | 25 | 3-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Forrest | 25 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Makhi Myles | 13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| U. Etim | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Ahmed Essahaty | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.6 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Jones Jr. * | 32 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +6.3 |
| Josh Hubbard * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | -7.4 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Achor Achor * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Jayden Epps | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Sergej Macura | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +14.6 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Dellquan Warren | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +10.9 |
| King Grace | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Brandon Walker | 9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -15.9 |
* = starter