Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | +12.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +12 (74-62). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Thomas * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Willie Williams * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 23 | +2.9 |
| Landyn Jumawan * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Chris Mubiru * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -0.3 |
| CJ Larry * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Izzy Miles | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 4 | -16.7 |
| Chip Brunt | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Kordrick Turner | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -13.7 |
| J.C. Riley Jr. | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin McGhee III * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Koree Cotton * | 32 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Jaylen Washington * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | -0.7 |
| Filip Brankovic * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +16.0 |
| Julien Gomez * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +5.5 |
| Kwo Agwa | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -8.3 |
| Demarris Winters | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Dane Christensen | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +6.1 |
| Always Wright | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +9.0 |
* = starter