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2026-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 7.7% 92.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.3% 92.7% - โœ“
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.7 โœ“ (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Micah Thomas 37 8-19 2-4 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 18 8 +5.7
Willie Williams 35 6-11 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 1 1 13 15 -2.2
Chris Mubiru 26 2-6 2-5 2-2 5 0 1 1 0 8 9 +4.5
Chip Brunt 23 7-10 2-2 3-5 3 0 0 0 0 19 12 +14.1
Izzy Miles 23 1-7 0-2 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 5 -3 +4.5
Justin Redmond 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +5.0
Moustapha Loum 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 0 7 +7.5
Omar Adegbola 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -14.4
Kordrick Turner 9 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 0 +0.6
Landyn Jumawan 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.8
CJ Larry 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -4.8

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chrishawn Christmas 34 1-3 0-0 0-2 10 1 2 0 1 2 11 -4.9
L. Patrick 33 4-14 2-7 3-5 5 2 2 0 0 13 8 -4.4
Keon Thompson 32 11-17 0-1 5-7 6 2 0 1 4 27 15 +2.5
Jerald Colonel 26 2-6 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 2 0 7 13 -4.2
Narit Chotikavanic 21 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 1 -1.1
K. Burton 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 4 -2.2
Gediminas Alisas 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 4 5 +0.3
Ahamed Mohammed 13 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -4.8
Christian Green 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Marcus Scurry 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.2

* = starter