Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Incarnate Word Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Incarnate Word Cardinals +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Miles | 34 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Chris Mubiru | 34 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Micah Thomas | 31 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Willie Williams | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Landyn Jumawan | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| CJ Larry | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justin Redmond | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J.C. Riley Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Omar Adegbola | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chip Brunt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kordrick Turner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Staveskie | 34 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Harold Woods | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Love Bettis | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Bailey | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Pyke | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Lewis Rowe | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| H. Reede | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Glover | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| E. Mann | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Drummond | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Tomic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter