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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 85.7% 14.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.8% 12.2% - โœ“
Margin 87.5% 12.5% -10.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 79.3% 20.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern State Demons -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lateef Patrick Jr 37 6-17 2-9 3-4 3 3 2 0 1 17 7 +0.9
Keon Thompson 32 7-13 1-3 6-9 2 5 1 0 3 21 13 +5.5
Chrishawn Christmas 26 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 6 8 +2.1
Narit Chotikavanic 22 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 +3.5
Jerald Colonel 21 1-3 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 1 2 4 9 +4.3
Gediminas Alisas 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -2.2
Kam Burton 18 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 7 +3.2
Eltramon Smith Jr. 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 4 +9.7
Ahamed Mohammed 9 1-4 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -3.0
Christian Green 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -4.3
Marcus Scurry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +6.2

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Mubiru 34 5-12 3-7 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 15 7 -8.8
Willie Williams 29 4-7 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 0 0 9 14 -4.6
Micah Thomas 27 3-9 1-5 7-7 3 2 0 0 3 14 7 -1.9
Izzy Miles 24 3-5 0-1 3-6 1 1 0 0 2 9 4 -12.1
Omar Adegbola 19 2-5 0-1 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 6 6 +2.8
Justin Redmond 19 1-7 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -6 -4.9
Landyn Jumawan 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 -3.7
CJ Larry 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +5.1
J.C. Riley Jr. 9 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 1 2 0 0 5 7 +10.7
Moustapha Loum 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -10.1
Chip Brunt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Kordrick Turner 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.4

* = starter