Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | -3.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Keats | 34 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 9 | -14.1 |
| Hayleigh Breland | 33 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | -16.8 |
| Jakayla Johnson | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | -31.1 |
| Meloney Thames | 28 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -12.4 |
| Whitney Hart | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -14.3 |
| Brikayla Gray | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -9.6 |
| Timya Thurman | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -9.7 |
| Morgan Sieper | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Ramiah Augurson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Miriam Prince | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Anaisha Carriere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.7 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gibbs | 34 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +18.6 |
| KP Parr | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +31.0 |
| K. Anderson | 26 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +26.1 |
| A. Carroll | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +15.1 |
| S. Burks | 24 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | +12.1 |
| Demontrel Jones | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +15.1 |
| M. Galbraith | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4.6 |
| K. Murphy | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| T. Ramey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| A. Walker | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.1 |
| K. McBride | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +9.1 |
| M. Harbor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter