Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.3% | 16.7% | -8.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Lady Eagles -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCollister | 22 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +12.2 |
| W. Rogers | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.4 |
| C. Rose | 21 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | -9.0 |
| Z. Shannon | 21 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 6-9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | -7.7 |
| B. Weary | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +7.3 |
| Y. Cox | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +7.4 |
| A. Ruddock | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +14.1 |
| D'Arrah Allen | 19 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +14.5 |
| Mia Tarver | 18 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | -1.4 |
| P. Fields | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -10.3 |
| M. Dickerson | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +6.0 |
| A. Ferguson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Keats | 36 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Hayleigh Breland | 35 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Sakyia White | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 25 | -2.1 |
| Jakayla Johnson | 24 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 14-16 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 22 | -2.3 |
| Meloney Thames | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8.0 |
| Morgan Sieper | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Brikayla Gray | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Ramiah Augurson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -10.7 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter