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2025-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders McNeese Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% -
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +10.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% -
Log Adjusted 14.1% 85.9% -
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% -

Actual: McNeese Cowboys +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Smith * 34 4-10 0-2 3-4 3 4 2 1 2 11 9 -7.0
J. Carter * 33 5-11 2-6 1-1 3 3 0 0 1 13 7 +0.2
K. Lands * 27 6-12 5-8 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 18 9 +0.9
T. Alston * 26 2-7 0-0 2-4 9 2 0 1 1 6 10 -2.5
C. Loofe * 17 0-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 4 0 -1 -15.6
A. Oglesby 25 4-9 3-5 1-2 0 2 1 0 0 12 6 -17.5
L. Jovanovic 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 +9.6
J. Dent Jr. 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 +2.1

McNeese Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Garcia * 31 8-11 2-3 8-8 1 0 0 0 0 26 16 +10.6
T. Archie * 28 5-15 2-8 3-3 3 2 0 0 0 15 5 +6.8
J. Colbert * 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 1 3 3 +6.4
DJ Richards * 16 1-3 1-3 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 7 6 -11.5
J. Fredson-Cole * 11 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -5.9
C. Cherenfant 29 1-2 0-1 5-5 10 2 3 1 1 7 20 +11.8
G. Dual 28 3-12 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 0 +13.9
L. Johnson 18 2-7 0-1 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 6 2 +2.6
P. Machar 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 0 2 9 -0.5

* = starter