Model Predictions
| Model | East Texas A&M Lions | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | +13.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +8 (63-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
East Texas A&M Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Hunt * | 37 | 2-14 | 0-7 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +10.1 |
| Noah Pagotto * | 36 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | +3.5 |
| Ronnie Harrison * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Damian Garcia * | 32 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +8.5 |
| Tay Mosher * | 21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +8.9 |
| Evan Phelps | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Josh Taylor | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -7.5 |
| Vinny Sigona | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.8 |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin McGhee III * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -5.0 |
| Julien Gomez * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Jaylen Washington Jr. * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Koree Cotton * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Filip Brankovic * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | -2.9 |
| Dane Christensen | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Kwo Agwa | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Always Wright | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Zae Blake | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Demarris Winters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
* = starter