Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Dodd | 38 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kasen Jennings | 37 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Tot | 36 | 5-15 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Luke Wilson | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Eren Banks | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Chad Moodie | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyndall Davis | 38 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Mark Drone | 38 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| DJ Hall | 35 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Franck Emmou | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Sant | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Bolden | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Makai Willis | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Robert Fields | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kaden Gumbs | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jaelyn Lee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter