Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dodd | 38 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Jennings | 37 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Tot | 36 | 5-15 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | - |
| L. Wilson | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | - |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| E. Banks | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Moodie | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Drone | 38 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| K. Davis | 38 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. Hall | 35 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| F. Emmou | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Sant | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bolden | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Willis | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Fields | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Gumbs | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Lee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter