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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Spread Result
Elo 67.9% 32.1% -
Bradley-Terry 60.1% 39.9% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 64.3% 35.7% -
Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% -
Log Adjusted 72.6% 27.4% -
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +13 (67-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Gumbs 35 3-5 0-1 3-4 3 1 3 0 3 9 8 -
K. Davis 33 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
D. Hall 30 7-14 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 1 3 18 9 -
M. Drone 23 3-11 0-2 4-4 3 3 0 0 4 10 1 -
F. Emmou 23 2-6 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Bolden 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Fields 18 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
T. Sant 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 2 4 -
M. Willis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Finister 35 5-10 1-1 4-6 5 5 0 1 4 15 12 -
T. Jones 29 2-3 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 5 2 8 16 -
J. Olvera 27 7-14 2-3 4-6 4 1 1 0 3 20 9 -
D. Lavergne 26 2-9 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 5 -2 -
D. Woodson 26 4-4 4-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 12 12 -
M. Mejia 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 3 8 -
K. Bilal 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Collins 14 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
J. Evans 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Ratliff 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter