Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 40 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -13.9 |
| Coo. Campbell | 35 | 8-19 | 7-17 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 7 | - |
| Victor Valdes | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -12.9 |
| Cobi Campbell | 30 | 0-10 | 0-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | -8.7 |
| Austin Cross | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Evan Griffin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Javen Colbert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen | 39 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +17.5 |
| Chaze Harris | 35 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +11.7 |
| Jayden Cooper | 33 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Hantz Louis Jeune | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +8.7 |
| Randy Brady | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.8 |
| Stephen Williams | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +4.4 |
| JJ Wheat | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +10.2 |
| John Broom | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
* = starter