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2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thundering Herd App State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 57.3% 42.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -
Points Off/Def 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: App State Mountaineers -1 (93-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Speer 37 8-18 4-10 4-4 4 2 2 0 1 24 13 -
L. Joseph 36 9-13 3-5 3-4 2 4 2 0 2 24 17 -
A. Fuquay 28 6-6 1-1 2-3 5 1 0 1 0 15 16 -
W. Dubinsky 23 1-2 1-2 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 4 8 -
N. Otshudi 21 3-8 0-2 2-2 0 3 0 0 0 8 3 -
W. Fricks 18 3-7 1-4 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
S. Hugie 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
E. Harding 14 2-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
C. Hollenbeck 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dodd 40 7-14 3-7 2-6 7 7 1 0 4 19 16 -
L. Wilson 33 3-5 0-0 10-14 6 1 0 0 0 16 18 -
J. Tot 30 5-13 4-10 5-6 0 1 2 0 0 19 9 -
K. Jennings 29 5-8 1-3 6-7 2 1 0 0 1 17 11 -
M. Marcus Jr. 25 3-7 1-4 5-7 4 1 0 1 0 12 11 -
E. Banks 23 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
C. Moodie 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Brim 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Njock 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter