Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -4 (88-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen | 44 | 9-21 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Chaze Harris | 39 | 8-17 | 2-2 | 12-14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Jayden Cooper | 33 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Randy Brady | 30 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| John Broom | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Hantz Louis Jeune | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| JJ Wheat | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Williams | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brian Hawthorne | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon | 43 | 10-24 | 9-22 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 18 | - |
| Chandler Jackson | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Hampton | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Aly Tounkara | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| K. Hayman | 24 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Joey Chammaa | 11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chudi Dioramma | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter