Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +11 (69-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jennings | 38 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Dodd | 36 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| J. Tot | 35 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| L. Wilson | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. Banks | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Moodie | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Fowler | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Davis | 35 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. McBride | 33 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| B. Douglas | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| G. Newhof | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Egbule | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Taylor | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter