Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC Shaw | 38 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | -21.9 |
| Jordan Battle | 37 | 5-16 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | -17.8 |
| LJ Thomas | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -21.4 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14.0 |
| Robert Davis Jr. | 20 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -11.5 |
| Jared Turner | 18 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Zacch Wiggins | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +3.6 |
| Donovan Raymond | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Scottie Hubbard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.1 |
| Drew McKenna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone | 39 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +15.4 |
| Robert Fields | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +5.0 |
| Kyndall Davis | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +18.1 |
| DJ Hall | 23 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 25 | +12.8 |
| Franck Emmou | 23 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +4.3 |
| Jalen Bolden | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +11.3 |
| Makai Willis | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| T. Sant | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jaelyn Lee | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter