Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -9 (61-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer | 40 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Wilson Dubinsky | 35 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | +2.8 |
| Noah Otshudi | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Matt Van Komen | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Shamarrie Hugie | 20 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Bryce Slay | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Landen Joseph | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Erich Harding | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +2.0 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
| A. Fuquay | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Hayman | 32 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Hampton | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | -0.8 |
| Chandler Jackson | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 21 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -4.0 |
| TJ Caldwell | 19 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Aly Tounkara | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Joey Chammaa | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter