Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✗ (27.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -22 (44-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings | 37 | 11-18 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 21 | +23.4 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 35 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | +24.1 |
| Eren Banks | 34 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | +18.4 |
| Jalen Tot | 32 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +7.6 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +22.1 |
| Luke Wilson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +3.2 |
| Jacari Brim | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +14.9 |
| Chad Moodie | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Andrin Njock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 35 | 1-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -16.9 |
| Coo. Campbell | 32 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Theo Seng | 24 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -17.0 |
| Victor Valdes | 24 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -10.0 |
| Cobi Campbell | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kerrington Kiel | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -20.0 |
| Austin Cross | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -13.2 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Javen Colbert | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.9 |
| Evan Griffin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Emmanuel Clarton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
* = starter