Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dodd | 38 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +9.0 |
| J. Tot | 36 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +5.5 |
| K. Jennings | 35 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +7.3 |
| E. Banks | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +6.1 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +5.9 |
| L. Wilson | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +3.1 |
| C. Moodie | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +0.9 |
| J. Brim | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brumfield | 36 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -6.1 |
| T. Weeks | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | -4.6 |
| I. Hart | 31 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -4.8 |
| C. Lewis | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.2 |
| D. Binet | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -2.9 |
| C. Tramble | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
| B. Carruth | 13 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -4.9 |
| T. Izay | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -3.9 |
| F. Patino | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter