Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +5.9 | ✓ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +25 (82-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs | 40 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -13.1 |
| Mark Drone | 38 | 5-19 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 3 | -13.1 |
| DJ Hall | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -11.3 |
| Robert Fields | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | -9.0 |
| Jalen Bolden | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -14.1 |
| Franck Emmou | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Kyndall Davis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
| T. Sant | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jaelyn Lee | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
| Makai Willis | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.1 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Fowler | 29 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +11.8 |
| Bradley Douglas | 26 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Cliff Davis | 25 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +16.1 |
| Justin McBride | 24 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +12.9 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 21 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Gabe Newhof | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +15.0 |
| Christian Brown | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Ike Cornish | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Kose Egbule | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +8.9 |
| Eli Wilborn | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Paul Jones III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Justin Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
* = starter