Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.2% | 16.8% | -8.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +1 (82-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Jackson | 35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Hampton | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | +4.7 |
| Christian Harmon | 33 | 7-15 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 7 | - |
| K. Hayman | 24 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Aly Tounkara | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +9.1 |
| Joey Chammaa | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -9.7 |
| TJ Caldwell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Smith | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelani Hamilton | 39 | 12-21 | 6-11 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 23 | +3.0 |
| Micah Tucker | 36 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Trey Scott III | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Anhtony Enoh | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Malachi Brown | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Joah Chappelle | 20 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +8.6 |
| Jakai Newton | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1.7 |
| James Cooper | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ayouba Berthe | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.9 |
* = starter