Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs | 34 | 2-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +1.7 |
| DJ Hall | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | +2.6 |
| Kyndall Davis | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Mark Drone | 23 | 9-21 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | +5.4 |
| Robert Fields | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +7.5 |
| Makai Willis | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Franck Emmou | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -1.8 |
| Jalen Bolden | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.1 |
| T. Sant | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jaelyn Lee | 12 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -2.8 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RaSheed Jones | 38 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Joshua Beadle | 35 | 11-19 | 0-4 | 10-12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 18 | +2.2 |
| AJ Dancler | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -6.9 |
| Reggie Hill | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Nadjrick Peat | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Derrick Green | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2.0 |
| DaJohn Craig | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +8.8 |
| Tristan Thompson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Braeden MacVicar | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.1 |
| Jerry Ngopot | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
* = starter