Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Vion Lavergne | 36 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -12.1 |
| Dorian Finister | 34 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -6.9 |
| Jaxon Olvera | 27 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -5 | -3.8 |
| Milan Mejia | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Dariyus Woodson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -8.3 |
| Todd Jones | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -7.8 |
| Jeremiah Evans | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Karris Bilal | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Michael Collins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Kyran Ratliff | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Tot | 36 | 7-16 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +7.1 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +7.5 |
| Luke Wilson | 35 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +12.7 |
| Kasen Jennings | 31 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 26 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -4.2 |
| Eren Banks | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +14.9 |
| Chad Moodie | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +12.1 |
| Jacari Brim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
* = starter