Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lavergne | 36 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -12.1 |
| D. Finister | 34 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -6.9 |
| J. Olvera | 27 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -5 | -3.8 |
| M. Mejia | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.4 |
| D. Woodson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -8.3 |
| T. Jones | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -7.8 |
| J. Evans | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +3.2 |
| K. Bilal | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.8 |
| M. Collins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.0 |
| K. Ratliff | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tot | 36 | 7-16 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +7.1 |
| A. Dodd | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +7.5 |
| L. Wilson | 35 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +12.7 |
| K. Jennings | 31 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -0.8 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 26 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -4.2 |
| E. Banks | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +14.9 |
| C. Moodie | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +12.1 |
| J. Brim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
* = starter