Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Brumfield | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | -1.9 |
| Tylik Weeks | 36 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 15 | -4.5 |
| Djahi Binet | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -9.5 |
| Israel Hart | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Brewer Carruth | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -15.7 |
| Curt Lewis | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | -9.3 |
| Chiante Tramble | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.7 |
| Tegra Izay | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Fallou Diagne | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs | 38 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +9.8 |
| DJ Hall | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | +12.4 |
| Kyndall Davis | 32 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Franck Emmou | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | +8.8 |
| Robert Fields | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +0.5 |
| T. Sant | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Makai Willis | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -6.7 |
| Jalen Bolden | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Mark Drone | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -3.7 |
* = starter