Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Davis | 31 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | -21.9 |
| B. Douglas | 30 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -18.6 |
| J. McBride | 28 | 2-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -9.3 |
| E. Ricks III | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -11.4 |
| G. Newhof | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.3 |
| P. Fowler | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| I. Cornish | 15 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +6.4 |
| E. Wilborn | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11.6 |
| K. Egbule | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4.8 |
| C. Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wilson | 38 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 20 | +15.0 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 35 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +12.0 |
| J. Tot | 33 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +19.6 |
| A. Dodd | 32 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | +18.2 |
| K. Jennings | 31 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 11 | +13.3 |
| E. Banks | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| C. Moodie | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.7 |
| J. Clarke Jr. | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.3 |
* = starter