Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +5 (59-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Olvera | 36 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | +0.2 |
| Dorian Finister | 34 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | -2.9 |
| De'Vion Lavergne | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +6.4 |
| Todd Jones | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Milan Mejia | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Dariyus Woodson | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Michael Collins | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Karris Bilal | 12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Jeremiah Evans | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Kyran Ratliff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs | 40 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +1.3 |
| DJ Hall | 33 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +4.7 |
| Franck Emmou | 30 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jalen Bolden | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Kyndall Davis | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Robert Fields | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +2.2 |
| T. Sant | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaelyn Lee | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Makai Willis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
* = starter