Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +1 (70-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Davis Jr. | 37 | 4-15 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | -10.8 |
| J. Battle | 33 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -9.8 |
| KC Shaw | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | -18.0 |
| LJ Thomas | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -7.0 |
| J. Turner | 23 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -4.9 |
| D. McKenna | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -1.0 |
| B. Nacey | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -5.9 |
| S. Hubbard | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
| Z. Wiggins | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -9.0 |
| D. Raymond | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7.0 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Douglas | 36 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | +12.3 |
| C. Davis | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +12.0 |
| E. Ricks III | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +16.7 |
| J. McBride | 29 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 11-12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 19 | +4.7 |
| G. Newhof | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +12.8 |
| P. Fowler | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +6.8 |
| C. Brown | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Egbule | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Jones III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter