Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.6% | 27.4% | -5.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -2 (50-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dodd | 37 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | +6.7 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 33 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +6.7 |
| K. Jennings | 32 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | +13.8 |
| L. Wilson | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20 | +10.7 |
| J. Tot | 29 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +3.9 |
| J. Clarke Jr. | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.0 |
| C. Moodie | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.0 |
| A. Njock | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| J. Brim | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hamilton | 37 | 5-18 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -8.4 |
| M. Tucker | 31 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -2 | -6.9 |
| M. Brown | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | -3.7 |
| T. Scott III | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -11.7 |
| A. Enoh | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -3.7 |
| C. Beam | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| A. Berthe | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.0 |
| J. Cooper | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
| J. Newton | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter