Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Davis * | 35 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | +4.9 |
| Justin McBride * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +8.8 |
| Eddie Ricks III * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Bradley Douglas * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3 | -1.1 |
| Gabe Newhof * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +7.8 |
| Kose Egbule | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.8 |
| Preston Fowler | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Eli Wilborn | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Christian Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Ike Cornish | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.0 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hampton * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Chandler Jackson * | 29 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | -3.9 |
| Christian Harmon * | 23 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| F. Sylla * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Hayman | 25 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Aly Tounkara | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.9 |
| TJ Caldwell | 13 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Joey Chammaa | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -5.8 |
| R. Smith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3.8 |
* = starter